Victoria changes… @DELWP_Vic #demography https://t.co/cicAJkWv0N pic.twitter.com/dLRwdlWnQP
— WhaleSongServices (@WhaleSongAus) November 13, 2015
Category: Place-based Planning
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Victoria in the future…
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Detroit from the Air
A stunning photographic essay by Alex S. MacLean from the New York Times.
The contrast of decay and hopelessness and the first signs of renewal are both graphic and encouraging.
One senses a potential for Detroit to be “the-first-of-the-last” and potentially lead the way to newly configured and sustainable urban landscapes.
Certainly not yet, but look closely at MacLean’s wonderful pictures.. You will see the potential.
Links
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Gippsland Youth Commitment Online
Inspiring Connections.

Gippsland Youth Services Directory It is very appropriate in Youth Week 2014 that a group in Gippsland, Victoria, the “Gippsland Youth Commitment“, has developed an online architecture and business model that is designed to get agencies and organisations to work collaboratively by sharing online resources.. for the sole purpose of improving outcomes for young-people.
Yes, there are many such initiatives.
What makes this different is that it has been led from the “ground-up” by the Baw Baw Latrobe Local Learning and Employment Network, staff within the DEECD in Gippsland and their partners across many service providers and organisations in Gippsland.
This is not a trivial thing.
The project has developed an online youth services directory that will function on any mobile device, designed particularly for young people looking for services and support within Gippsland.This is really just the tip-of-the-iceberg.
The system also has as a “back-end” management system that is designed for detailed sharing between organisations working to provide youth services in Gippsland. The business model and architecture means it really is “sustainable”, [an often over-used and misrepresented term.]
This is the key, Combining local leadership and a budget model that understands the financial and technical constraints of rural and regional communities….
The most recent report by the Victorian Auditor-General on Access to Education for Rural Students highlights the glaring challenges when it comes to deploying Government Policy on a place-based or customised basis. Readers of this blog will know my views on evidence-based-planning.
This initiative is one of a few that I am aware of that can genuinely address the challenges in the Auditor-General’s report in a positive, meaningful and cost-effective way.
Caveat/Disclosure
I have assisted in the development and deployment of this project.
Links
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Have we lived long enough?

Saturday Feb 7th 2009 Three years ago today, I witnessed first-hand, the unrelenting and profoundly destructive force of the fires that created Australia’s worst natural disaster in recorded history.
The fires that began on February 7th 2009 “Black Saturday” took many lives, destroyed many homes and buildings and most certainly altered the psyche of many that I know, including me.
1000 plus degrees is not something that I have yet to really comprehend.
It is beyond human comprehension and perception, at least in my mind.
My family’s home, my children’s possession’s, their pet dog, were all “lost” in the fires. “Lost” is a strange adjective to use, but it seems less dramatic than evaporate. I thought only liquid evaporated…

My liquified roof – 2009 Being caught in an inferno is something that I still contend with most days. We all move on, perhaps in different directions and certainly with altered purpose, yet I often ponder the obscene luck of some [myself] and sadly the lack of the same obscene luck that mean’t others perished.
A few weeks after the fires in 2009, Professor Tom Griffiths [from the ANU] wrote an article titled ” We still have not lived long enough”. This really struck a chord with me. In this piece, he postulated…do we learn from history?
Professor Griffiths wrote of the 1939 “Black Friday” fires and the Royal Commission of Judge Leonard Stretton. The judge used the phrase “they had not lived long enough”, describing the horrible collision between an ancient natural cycle [bushfires] and relatively new european immigrants coming to grips with these events. These were events that my parents were alive to see. I am aware of many older people who still talk about the “fires of ’39”. I know myself that the 1983 fires -“Ash Wednesday” are discussed in a similar vein.
My father was born amongst the Red Gums, an association that my family has had for about 150 years. Even after recovering a few months after the events of February 2009, I spoke with an older [and much wiser] family member who had lived most of his life [and most of the 20th century] in the southern Riverina bush of New South Wales, amongst the red gums. His wise words on first greeting me were both full of caring accusation and somewhat incredulous..
“What ? Didn’t you see it coming?” .
I stopped and thought for a moment, then realised, the answer was yes, I did. That surprised me…

Chimney Professor Griffiths too, asked the simple yet profound question, do we learn from history? He answered his own question, suggesting the evidence suggested that we do not….
Those reading this that know what happened in Marysville during the fires, will shudder to read an excerpt from the 1939 Royal Commission..
“[Question:] Could anything be done to make Marysville safe against fire from the west?
[Answer:] — No. On Sunday night we were burning and all day Monday I had a big body of men on the western end of the township cutting and burning breaks. On Monday the fire jumped over everything we had done.”
The work of Museum Victoria’s Bushfire Collection, amongst many others, may help to correct earlier lapses of our collective memory. More support for such endeavours is certainly needed.
Three years [or seventy years] on, I think individuals and communities have learned much, yet I also fear that collectively we have allowed the opportunity for generational [cultural] change, to fade a little too quickly…The very same challenge that Professor Griffith’s suggests occurred to those who experienced the 1939 fires may be occurring today.
We most certainly cared for the survivors and victims of the 2009 fires far better and more deeply than perhaps at any other time in our history. That may still not be enough? Having been a recipient of such overwhelming concern and support, provided often by strangers, assures me that Australian’s have definitely learnt much. It was what we do from this point on that will be the test of Professor Griffith’s thesis.
We began building a new home in the last month, three years after the event. Time, energy, emotions, life, work, regulation, bureaucracy, family – all must be catered for during what is euphemistically called the recovery period.
Many still are effectively living as environmental refugees. Unable to return, not willing

February 2009 or simply prevented from returning to where they lived, parts of our landscape being assessed as no longer viable given the potential for such disaster. I have travelled widely, the Australian bush is where I choose to live. The reality of the environmental and population changes occurring over time present challenges anew for us all.
The larger scale opportunities for cultural change, planning, environmental, economic and social policy [unique to this corner of Australia] that comes with co-ordinated community and government action, at all levels, remains to be seen.

Redgum 2012 We still seem to struggle with the “big-picture” opportunities and the genuine leadership required to unite communities and the nation.
Energy infrastructure, telecommunications, building codes, social planning, at least to my eye, have not been coordinated or integrated in ways that I thought may have been possible in the weeks and months after the fires.
The cultural response is our greatest challenge.
Let’s hope we have lived long enough this time.
Links.
- “It really happened”
- ABC Online – Black Saturday
- We have still not lived long enough – Prof. Tom Griffiths
- 1939 Royal Commission
- 1983 – Ash Wednesday Fires
- 2009 Royal Commission
- Centre for Environmental History – Prof. Tom Griffiths
- Victorian Bushfire Research Project
- Museum Victoria Bushfire Collection
- Bushfire Class Action
- Bushfire Buyback Scheme
- “Then the wind changed” – ABC Documentary – Screens 8:30pm today
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ABS Spotlight

ABS Spotlight The Australian Bureau of Statistics has put together another engaging interactive that personalises the 2006 Australian Census data for the user in an interesting and very visual way. [The 2011 Census in Australia was just completed in August ]
The site is called “Spotlight” and takes some of the data from the last Census [2006] and shows just a few of the interesting things that the Census can tell us about Australia’s people and population.
It is another great example of visualising complex data in subtly personal ways to help inform and direct policy debates about future planning.
The ability to “personalise” the interactive by adding, gender, age, postcode and occupation gives the user a context of the personal and local, within the national aggregate. This is a good technique that would be both a wonderful teaching tool as well as a general community resource that encourages evidence-based planning.
Of course the challenge now becomes providing greatly expanded tools such as this in ways that become routine and accessible for the broader population and electorate.
Live reporting at regional and local scales, personal updates and real time data input is now needed more than ever. The complexity of decision making within highly complex policy environments requires larger, more timely and more accurate information than ever before. This is a nice start.
You can find the Australian Bureau of Statistics “Spotlight” website at
http://spotlight.abs.gov.au/
Links:
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Save Energy?
Should we bother trying to save energy?.
Not according to the Australia Institute who today came out with a press release on the insulation package, arguing that with the Carbon Pollution Reduction Scheme, it won’t reduce emissions.The Government says the scheme will help households save energy and cut carbon emissions by up to 49 million tonnes by 2020.
But the Australia Institute’s executive director Richard Denniss says the Government’s carbon pollution reduction scheme will just reallocate those emissions.
“The way the Emissions Trading Scheme is designed, every kilogram of emissions saved by a household frees up an extra permit for a big polluter,” he said.
This is something John Quiggin noted the other day. And strictly speaking, it is true for a public policy of this kind. So for the 2 tonnes in CO2 saved for each household per year or around 4 million in total, that is an equivalent amount of permits that can be used for something else.
So while that looks like reallocation of permits, it is actually focusing on the wrong thing. What it means is that the demand curve for permits will shift to the left by 4 million units. Depending upon its elasticity, that will translate into some reduction in permit prices. Is that a bad thing? Think about it. The environment is no worse off but the cost to the economy is reduced. And as that is the biggest constraint on stricter emissions targets that solves a policy impediment too.
Does this mean we should value the social return above the energy costs to insulation at the expected carbon price times 4 million per annum? Probably not. But it could be a much larger amount or a smaller amount. Regardless there is some benefit there.
Actually, if the Australia Institute were really wanting to go at this, it is better to think about the fact that the costs of producing the insulation will be borne this side of the ETS. That means that any pollution that production process gives rise to, especially given the extreme concentration of capacity (and hopefully not a big investment in it) at a relatively short period of time, will not be priced and so there will be no incentive to economise on emissions. But then again, this argument gets preciously close to being happy about the recession because it is good for the environment. Hmm, a slippery slope but I guess, to be honest, I can’t rule it out as a theoretical possibility.
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Strengthening Community Organisations
The Victorian Government has released the Victorian Government Action Plan: Strengthening Community Organisations.
A significant outcome is the establishment of the Office for the Community Sector at the Department of Planning and Community Development. It will be responsible for implementing the plan which addresses the streamlining of bureaucratic processes; workforce development in the community sector; and ongoing sustainability for community organisations.
Link: Launch of new action plan for Victorian community organisations.
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State of the Regions 2006
ALGA Publishes 2006 State of the Regions Report.
The Australian Local Government Association [ALGA]released it’s highly valuable State of the Regions Report yesterday, 27th November.The survey of Australia’s 64 regions is commissioned annually by the Australian Local Government Association (ALGA) from National Economics. This is the 9th survey undertaken by National Economics.
Editors Note: The Central Ranges LLEN Board commissioned National Economics in 2002 and 2004 to produce the CRLLEN Environmental Scan. A document and data set that has been highly valued by planners across our region. An enhanced scan of the LLEN region will be published in 2007.
The 2006 State of the Regions survey is set against a backdrop of accelerating of population growth in the ‘resource zones’ and a ten-year land boom that saw land values triple between 1996 and 2005 creating a housing affordability crisis for renters and first home buyers.
Despite improvements in broadband usage, the lack of connectivity in parts of regional Australia translates to an inability to attract new industry and well trained productive workers. Lower land costs make these regions attractive to low-income earners, fixed-income retired or semi-retired households.

Regions with higher concentrations of low and fixed income earners tend to be less attractive to young people and skilled workers which further reduces the skills base and accelerates the loss of skills and critical mass for improved connectivity.
The key to reversing this vicious cycle is to reverse the flow of skills and improve connectivity – both transport and communication – between relatively disadvantaged regions and successful regions as well as international markets. The report says Australia’s local government areas could resemble California’s Silicon Valley, given a boost to regional innovation, and mentions the Bendigo Community Telco as an example.
The report paints a picture of regions and local communities fighting back by innovating and generating investment. It shows that:
- Improved employment conditions in rural regions are encouraging greater levels of working age migration to some rural regions
- The baby bounce continues in core metro and lifestyle regions
- Local communities can take action to improve the speed and coverage of their internet services [Note: See our Broadband Broker Project]
- High productivity regions are ageing relatively slowly
- The capacity to innovate depends on knowledge networks at the regional level
- Australia’s major centres are forming innovation clusters that attract high tech start ups
- The land boom in Australia increased the self-perceived wealth of households across the nation
The report praises the Australian Government’s major broadband initiative – Broadband Connect and Clever Networks – which will have flow-on benefits and shows that much of the current investment in upgrading broadband services focused on upgrading existing exchanges in successful regions to higher bandwidths that provide higher speeds.
The report found that Australia’s most successful regions, when measured by the number of patents per 100,000 population and high tech start-ups, are still the major cities, particularly Sydney, and Melbourne.
It is evident that the major centres, with their internationally networked businesses, universities and research centres attract more firms, and the impact of this is that dense clusters of activity create a higher level of patent applications.
Municipalities that are (financially) smaller or (geographically) larger face additional disadvantage due to longer travel times and scale. The report finds that the quality of service each dollar can purchase can vary considerably between municipalities.
The resources necessary to give disadvantaged councils a better chance to play a more effective role in improving economic performance outcomes will in the main have to come from grants or other revenue enhancing measures.
Regarding council infrastructure, the report estimates that $2.3 billion in extra money is needed to bring resource-poor local government regions infrastructure up to the general standard. On the issue of road finance, the report advocates a move to road finance through user charges with council rates only paying for maintaining local access roads.
I highly commend this report to all LLEN members and those community members that have an interest and stake in sustainable regional development.
[Source: ALGA]
Related Links
Australian Local Government Association
National Institute of Economic and Industry Research
- CRLLEN Environmental Scan
Bendigo Community Telco
- CRLLEN Community Broadband Broker
Broadband Connect
Clever Networks
State of the Regions Report