Category: Economics – Education

All things economic, related to the operation, planning and implementation of education policy and practice at all levels.

  • $1 now….


     

  • In praise of Idleness…. NOT

    Those of us interested in the performance of education systems broadly [at a professional or policy level] or perhaps those of us interested in the specifics of educational results [perhaps as a business-owner, looking for a skilled pool of workers or as a parent, concerned for the future of those most-dear] should equally be interested in two [somewhat juxtaposed] reports , the New Zealand productivity Commission’s report ” Productivity by the Numbers..” and the Council of Australian Government’s Reform Council [COAG] report on Education Performance in Australia over the last five years.

    In a field of hotly contested ideologies and practical realities, it appears there is a lot to like about much of the specific performance of the mid-to-longer term efforts to improve intergenerational mobility amongst Australians. Of course, there is room for genuine concern, but the positive gains are the focus for today.

    Simplistic public debates about skills, education, schools and/or universities, would do well to consider some of these trends. The educators are educating.

    Education, skills and the ability to adapt to the realities of labour markets and skills needs are key challenges that we hear almost everyday, whether it be from Politicians, Business Leaders or Educators. The COAG report provides some insights in to the current performance of Education systems across  Australia and what this means for the nation as a whole. It is also interesting to get a perspective from our “cousins across the ditch” and New Zealand’s Productivity Commission’s comparative assessment of the structural differences in the Australian and New Zealand economies.

    Australian – New Zealand 

    Aust v New Zealand
    Source: New Zealand Productivity Commission

    The New Zealand Productivity Commission reports notes:

    New Zealand and Australia have had remarkably similar employment growth since the mid-1950s. But Australian firms have been much more successful than their New Zealand counterparts at converting that labour input into output

    When we turn a little closer to home and look at the COAG report on the Education reforms of the last five years, we also find some key improvements.

    Some of the key findings [at a National Level] suggest:

    • Reading and numeracy are improving in the primary years but not in secondary
    • More young people attain Year 12 but fewer are fully engaged in work or study after school
    • Progress for Indigenous students appears slow and patchy
    • Outcomes for students from the lowest socio-economic backgrounds still poor

    The figures also suggest that historical inequalities are proving true to that description. They are historical inequalities that perhaps require resources and focus of an historic nature.

    Equity – The long-tail challenge for policy makers and practitioners alike.

    Between 2008 and 2012, the reading achievement of students in the lowest socio-economic group increased in Years 3 and 5 but declined in Years 7 and 9. Large gaps in achievement between low and high socio-economic groups remain in all year levels of testing.

    Over the period 2006 to 2011, Year 12 attainment increased for the lowest socio-economic group to 73.7% compared to 93.3% for the highest socio-economic group. The gap between the two groups remained similar to that in 2006. There were greater improvements for the lower and middle socio-economic groups (quintiles 2 and 3). Year 12 attainment for both these groups increased by nearly 5 percentage points, to 81.9% and 85.8% respectively, reducing the gap with the highest group.

    Those that are within the Local Learning and Employment Networks in Victoria would be pleased with some of these trends.

    In 2011, after leaving school, 41.7% of young people from the lowest socio-economic backgrounds were not fully engaged in work or study, compared to 17.4% for young people from the highest socio- economic backgrounds. This gap widened between 2006 and 2011. [Source: COAG 2013]

    Some of the key trends.

     Year 12 Attainment

    Australia_-_Yr12_School_Leavers
    Source: COAG Reform Council 2013

     

    Literacy and Numeracy

    COAG
    Source: COAG 2013

    Victorian Trends

    Victorian Year 12 Completers

    Victoria- School Leavers
    Source: COAG 2013

    Victorian Indigenous Education Outcomes

    Victoria_-_Indigenous_Education

     

    Links

  • We need to be smarter.

    The “teachers dispute” is still not settled. Telecommunications, Climate Policy, Labour Market renewal and work such as the Gonski review appear distant references on some future policy horizon.

    The treatment of education and skills as a simple cost in a budget, or some “sector” to “manage” fundamentally misunderstands the needs of a modern economy [which wishes to remain one] in this century. Envisioning future Victorian and Australian communities that are literate, numerate, engaged, sustainably employed, self-reliant and generous is the task of all leaders.

    By most objective comparative measures, for many years (decades) Australia and/or Victoria have been one of the most high performing societies and economies [I place them in that order] on the planet.

    The teaching workforce requires the investment and reform commensurate with the strategic “lever” that it is. Not because it is flawed [although of course there is improvement possible], but because it is one of the only truly public policy levers that can establish and underpin a competitive and harmonious society in to the future.

    Yet, as my colleagues in the US would say, we have a Kabuki Dance called the Teachers EBA that suggests the most significant outcome required by Government is saving a few percentage points over the life cycle of one industrial agreement.

    There could be nothing less strategic in my view.

    Mitchell Shire - Year 12 Attainment
    Yr 12 Attainment

    At a local level, I note that in the Shire I live in, Mitchell Shire, the Year 12 attainment rate for young people has dropped from 71% in 2007 to a startling 59% in 2010 [the fourth lowest in all LGA’s in the State].

    There are a number of other metric’s I could point to, but this serves to make my point I hope.

    How does anything that relates to the current position of Government to the teacher’s agreement, suggest this position will or can be improved?

    How does having less skilled, less-schooled, less trained individuals in our community good for business or investment, let alone, the individuals themselves or the communities they live in?

    My recent observations about the lack of co-ordinated support for telecommunications infrastructure in the region further supports structural inequities that belie the social contract.

    Public debate and discourse appears to have collapsed and we have ridiculously doctrinaire views from political parties and commentators that frankly, in the 21st century, serve no-one, except perhaps the [increasingly] narrow self-interests of the few in power. The status-quo is well served.

    Scanning the newspapers in New South Wales and Victoria today, provides a stunning treatise of potential corruptions, conflicts-of-interest, self-interest and just plain apparent incompetence that sadly, supports my basic premise.

    We need to be smarter.

    And ethical.

    There appears to be genuine challenges of competence on both sides of the ever-increasingly irrelevant aisles of power.

    We have a new Premier of the State and I doubt anyone understands why?

    This will cover our news and air-waves for weeks.

    It seems if one side of politics says it is raining, the other side will suggest it is sunny and what was once a fearless and informed fourth-estate, chooses to publish the controversy of the disagreement, rather than take the time to look out the window and report the facts.

    In the mean-time, tens of thousands of public school educators remain without any reasonable commitment to the individual and profession-wide resources they require to respond to the needs of vastly diverse and rapidly balkanising communities. Evidence-led, place-based planning has never been more critical.

    I am reminded of an opine from 2005 [I think from Barry Jones] when he referred to the rise of the “un-reading managerial class” in modern policy circles.

    I don’t see what has changed.

    While I can be considered a “partisan” [in the broader meaning] when it comes to supporting state education, I do consider myself rationale and collaborative, [Bruce, please don’t snigger..] and thus able to see areas of reform that require all stakeholders to be prepared to compromise the tactical, to achieve a shared strategic vision.

    As yet,as far as I can tell, such a vision has not been articulated nor necessarily sought.

    Management appears easier.

    Nevertheless, the signal to noise ratio is such in public debate, that I simply add my voice to the ocean of noise, if only to satisfy myself and the few hundred colleagues, here and abroad that I share my views with.

    Settling the teacher’s Enterprise Bargaining Agreement would be the first indication that we can  and want to get smarter.

     

     

  • Education, Competitiveness, Civil Society – Pick 2

    We shouldn’t have to!

    AEU Stopwork September 5th 2012
    AEU Stop-work, Melbourne 5 Sept 2012

    It appears from contact with family and colleagues at what appears to be the largest state-wide teacher stop-work action ever held in Melbourne, Australia today, we are still very much in the cycle of  what I like to call “retail economics and policy planning”.

    It is sad to see such limited public debate about what is REALLY happening in schools, not just in Victoria, but across the country.

    At a time when we have more information, data and knowledge about both TEACHING and LEARNING, we are still destined for what appears to be a policy debate that does not get much beyond either “kicking a teacher” or demanding unlimited funds with little or no accountability.

    It is an insult to offer those in the service of educating our young such limited salaries, career structures and resourcing. Likewise, this will always appear to be the case as long as the teaching service allows a quasi-profession to be externally controlled, cajoled and manipulated because it does not manage and oversee its own standards and status.

    It seems, the major actors in current policy are happy to frame the debate in terms of choices that perhaps even Faust would not consider. Although such policy positions play well on TV and Radio i.e “We need to reform teaching”, “we need to get rid of poor teachers” or “our schools are crumbling”, ” our rankings are falling”, we seldom discuss the opportunities a bi-partisan, multi-party commitment to education would bring to the country as a whole.

    The half-truths and selective reasoning for political-gain, [at all levels] while well-crafted, is simply that, well-crafted. Our lack of cohesion and focus, our lack of collective support for the teaching service as one of the key strategic industries of our country’s current and future prosperity, is the key to many other social and economic policy dilemmas. Just ask the residents of Hackney.

    We have in fact seen enrolments in non-government schools reach approximately 34% of total enrolments and yet concurrently, we have seen the rise of policy and public debate about “falling standards” and “falling rankings”. The shift of student enrolments to non-government schools [without apparent academic improvement] and the concentration of lower-performing students in many government schools is a challenge often simply ignored, it appears, by many policy makers.

    Spending & OECD Performance

    A lot has been made of discussions about spending and OECD rankings in the last few weeks and months. Here is a little chart that shows spending as a percentage of Gross Domestic Product and the OECD Country Rankings in PISA Tests in Maths, English and Science.

    Dear reader, I would simply ask you to look closely at this graph below and ask yourself a few things about Australia’s rankings, mindful of the fact that MOST of the TEACHERS that were responsbile for the PISA results in 2000 are still in schools now.

    Question. What has changed?

    Question: What should we do now?

     

     

    This chart requires flash.

     

    Could you pick two of these? Education, Competitiveness, Civil Society

     

  • Social Mobility and Education Gaps

    Four Flags

    Those in Australia interested in the debate about education, equity and long-term social mobility within societies would benefit from reviewing the latest from the Sutton Trust.

    It is interesting to place the work of the Gonksi Review in the context of this discussion.

    My thoughts on Gonski can also be found here. A very soggy Gonski [as predicted]

    Current [and somewhat favourable] comparative analysis of Australia within the four countries should also be cautiously considered within the context of the trends we are are now seeing; greater inequity, and concentration of disadvantage. This should give policy-makers and parents alike, considerable pause…

    The Social Mobility Summit found:

    Despite being similarly unequal, the four major Anglophone nations have different social mobility levels, with the UK and US significantly less mobile than Canada or Australia.

    The Sutton Trust in the U.K. [Founded by Sir Peter Lampl in 1997] held a conference recently [May] presenting the latest international research findings on social mobility, educational achievement, and other key characteristics of the four major Anglophone countries – the United Kingdom, the United States, Canada and Australia. The report was jointly sponsored by the Sutton Trust and Carnegie of New York, it is the latest in a continuing line of work investigating international comparisons of mobility.

    It is interesting to note in our current domestic debate how positively others view our educational outcomes. Of course no single comparison is definitive, or necessarily useful, but the perspective of others can often add value to such doctrinaire debates.

    Social Mobility Summit -Underachievement Comparison
    Underachievement Comparison – Social Mobility Summit 2012

     

    Those interested in such research would find the work of the Sutton Trust and the recent Social Mobility Summit very useful.

    Links

     

  • US Student Debt surpasses Credit Cards

    In the most recent quarterly report [August 2011] on Household Debt and Credit by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York it reports [amongst many other things] that for the student loans will exceed $100 billion dollars and all outstanding balances will exceed $1 trillion dollars.  Staggering numbers.

    Links:

  • Student Participation

    MIT’s [Massachusetts Institute of Technology ]Abdul Latif Jameel Poverty Action Lab (J-PAL) is a network of 59 affiliated professors around the world who are united by their use of Randomized Evaluations (REs) to answer questions critical to poverty alleviation. J-PAL’s mission is to reduce poverty by ensuring that policy is based on scientific evidence.

    Their current work in the Education field has focussed on the vexed issues surrounding student participation.

    Their ongoing [and updated] research suggests that there is strong evidence from randomized evaluations on the effectiveness of the different strategies that have been used to promote student participation.

    Student Participation | J PAL

    From their research:

    Achieving universal enrollment in primary school, and high attendance among those enrolled, has been a major policy focus in developing countries for the last decade. There is now considerable evidence from randomized evaluations on the effectiveness of the different strategies that have been used to promote student participation. Parents are sensitive to the cost of school and even small subsidies can improve participation. But the most cost-effective approaches of those examined here are providing families with information about the higher wages earned by those who complete school, and addressing health problems such as intestinal worms and chronic anemia.

    Links:

  • Social Enterprise? Before or After Riots?

    Riots
    Riots in Hackney

    The disturbing scenes in London over the last few days bring in to a stark contrast the competing challenges of the immediate, short-term need for social order and the extended, long-term need for social inclusion.

    There are many thousands of pictures and words that will be written about this London summer.

    Jonathon Freedland, writing in the Guardian says:

    The soul sinks at the pictures – of a woman leaping from a burning building, of the owners of a family shop seeing their life’s work turned to ash, at the sight of a thug unzipping the rucksack still on the back of an injured teenager and taking from it what he wants. The soul sinks at the sight of people trashing the places where at least some of them live.

    Zoe Williams, also writing in the Guardian about the psychology of looting says:

    Looting
    Looting in Hackney

    this is what happens when people don’t have anything, when they have their noses constantly rubbed in stuff they can’t afford, and they have no reason ever to believe that they will be able to afford it. Hiller takes up this idea:”Consumer society relies on your ability to participate in it. So what we recognise as a consumer now was born out of shorter hours, higher wages and the availability of credit. If you’re dealing with a lot of people who don’t have the last two, that contract doesn’t work. They seem to be targeting the stores selling goods they would normally consume. So perhaps they’re rebelling against the system that denies its bounty to them because they can’t afford it.”

    Many are asking, “Is this a one-off or the beginning of wider, deeper unrest?”

    I don’t know the answer to that question, but I suspect the longer-term response rests in the effectiveness or otherwise of some fledgling educational and social-enterprise experiments.

    I am particularly familiar with Hackney, having visited and studied some of the educational institutions that have been developed in the area over the last decade, so the events there strike a personal and professional chord with me.

    This is an economic struggle for social mobility and schools will be one of the keys to the success or failure of these communities, indeed the wider society.

    Mossbourne Camera
    Mossbourne Camera

    Hackney and surrounds has been the site of unique educational and social-enterprise experiments [for want of a better word] with the introduction of the Mossbourne Community Academy  and the Petchey Academy. These were part of Tony Blair’s “Academy” programme established in 2000. These schools are directly funded by central government and are independent of local government control. These schools receive additional support from personal donors, benefactors or corporate sponsors, either financially or in kind, they are self-governing and many are  registered charities or operated by other educational charities.

    Mossbourne community academy was established seven years ago on the rubble of Hackney Downs school, which was once dubbed the worst in the country.

    Mossbourne Community Academy opened in September 2004 and is now an average sized

    Mossbourne Academy
    Mossbourne Grounds

    inner-city school with substantially more boys than girls. The proportion of pupils entitled to free school meals is very high, as is the proportion of students from minority ethnic backgrounds. The proportion of students for whom English is not their first language is well above average and the proportion of students with special educational needs and/or disabilities is above average. The academy specialises in information and communication technology (ICT). In summer 2009 the first group of Year 11 students took public examinations. In September 2009 the newly created sixth form began with a sizable group of Year 12 students. The academy is extremely heavily over-subscribed. It reflects a fully comprehensive intake drawn from the locality. The academy has a stable staff and high student stability.

    The Petchey Academy specialises in health, care and medical science. The academy moved into its new premises in September 2007.  The students reflect the wide ethnic mix in Hackney; about half are of Black African or Caribbean heritage and a significant proportion come from homes where English is not the first language, but few are in the early stages of learning English. The local area is one of considerable disadvantage. About a quarter of students have learning difficulties and/or disabilities, which is higher than that typically found. The academy is significantly over-subscribed and draws its students from about 40 primary schools.

    The initiative of the new Academy schools was [and still is] highly controversial, but the focus on producing achievement where previously there was none and focusing on access to employment and higher education pathways, where previously there were none has to be recognised as “drawing the line in the sand” for future generations.

    Obviously, the proof will be in the results of these schools. The most recent Ofsted report [ Office for Standards in Education] clearly demonstrates exceptional and outstanding achievement rates for students attending the Mossbourne Academy and  good achievement for the Petchey Academy.

    In 2009, it was reported that the Mossbourne Academy produced an extraordinary 84% of its pupils achieving five good GCSEs including both English and maths – a performance way above the national average, by children who started out below educational par.

    In the context of these riots and civil disorder, one wonders what role these institutions are playing, or can play in the future?  This is a new dimension to the challenge of providing social mobility and the promise of participation in society for these schools.

    Of course this is too early to tell, but the growing divides in modern societies in wealth, employment and more importantly, simple opportunity,  are challenges that we all need to consider.

    The Gini index of income disparity since World War Two offers some insight in to the challenges we can expect to see in countries around the world, as in many cases, fewer and fewer people not only possess more, but more importantly fewer and fewer seem to have access to any pathways, traditionally provided by a “good education” to the jobs, incomes and therefore the lives that are part of a traditional social contract.

     

    Gini Index
    Gini Index since WWII

    The question for for our democracies seems to be, when is enough inequality enough?

     

     

  • Do Teachers matter?

    Do Teachers Matter?.

    A psychology study hit the headlines last Friday under the banner

    ‘Teacher quality makes little difference, study shows’.

    AN AUSTRALIAN study has cast doubt over the “teacher effect”, by suggesting differences between teachers play only a minor role in how well a child will learn.

    The global study, led by the University of New England, monitored 500 pairs of identical twins during their first three years of school.

    They were divided into two groups: twins who shared the same teacher, and siblings who were split across different classrooms.

    The same genetics and home life ensured the twins had the same ability to learn. The study was designed to reveal any differences linked to their teacher alone.

    Professor Brian Byrne said the finding contradicted the views of educationalists who claimed teacher quality could account for a variance of up to 40 per cent in a child’s learning outcome.

    “Our study shows … the ‘teacher effect’ on differences in children’s acquisition of literacy skills in the early years of schooling is no more – and sometimes less – than 8 per cent,” Professor Byrne said.

    “This result is certainly in the direction you would expect if teachers do ‘make a difference’ but it is not very large.